Blackjack Guide/Card Counting

What is a true count in blackjack?

QUICK ANSWER

The true count is the running count divided by the number of decks remaining in the shoe. It normalizes the count for shoe size — a +6 running count means much more with 1 deck left than with 6 decks left. Bets and deviations are based on true count, not running count.

The formula

True Count = Running Count ÷ Decks Remaining

Why it matters

A running count of +6 with 6 decks left is only TC +1 — barely an edge. The same +6 with 1 deck left is TC +6 — a huge edge.

Estimating decks remaining

Look at the discard tray. If half the shoe is used from a 6-deck game, ~3 decks remain. Practice this — it''s the hardest part of counting.

Bet sizing rule of thumb

  • TC 0 or less: minimum bet
  • TC +1: 1–2 units
  • TC +2: 2–4 units
  • TC +3+: 4–8 units

Drill true count conversion at BJLeague True Count training.

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